APINCO data regarding internal chick housing showed that last March broiler chick housing reached its lowest level. And as part of this housing corresponded to birds slaughtered in May, it is logical to conclude that this month has the lowest supply of chicken meat this year.
In June it shouldn't be much different. Because a large part of the volume that will be slaughtered next month comes from chicks whose incubation began in April, when fear over the consequences of Operation Carne Fraca still weighed on the activity. In other words: it is very unlikely that there would have been an increase in production. On the contrary, perhaps.
Based on these premises, AviSite projected (graphic below) the supply trends (by daily average) of chickens ready for slaughter in the first six months of 2017. Estimating viability of 96% of chicks housed and slaughtered at 42 days of age, the graph indicates that, this semester, just over 3 (three) billion heads will be offered for slaughter, a volume almost 5% lower than the 3.155 billion heads in the first half of 2016.
Note, however, that in relation to the second half of 2016 this difference drops significantly. As volume was estimated at around 6.633 million/t for that period, current projections imply a reduction between 0.36% and 1.5%.
Source: Agrolink
