Wheat producers face a scenario of uncertainty with the recent weather events that have hit different regions of the country. In the South, mainly in Rio Grande do Sul, heavy rains have affected the progress of the harvest, while frosts in the Center-South turned on the warning signal for possible losses in recently planted areas.
According to data from Cepea (Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics), the cold weather, on the one hand, contributes to the development of crops, especially in the initial stages. On the other hand, the excess rain in Rio Grande do Sul has compromised the pace of planting. In addition, it has already caused losses in some areas, which will need to be replanted in the coming weeks.
The adverse conditions occur at an important time for the 2025 wheat harvest, which is still in its early stages. Conab (National Supply Company) reported that, as of June 21, producers had sown approximately 56.6% of the area projected for cultivation in Brazil. In Santa Catarina, sowing began recently, while in Goiás, harvesting has already begun.
In Rio Grande do Sul, the largest wheat-producing state in the country, the unstable weather poses an additional challenge. In addition to the difficulty in accessing crops due to waterlogged soil, there is a risk of reduced productivity. This is especially true in areas where replanting is necessary. This situation could compromise the state's production estimates.
The frosts, recorded in parts of Paraná, São Paulo and Mato Grosso do Sul, are also causing concern. Although some crops are still in the early stages of development, producers and technicians are assessing possible impacts on more sensitive areas or those planted early. Monitoring the climate in the coming weeks will be crucial to assessing the real damage.
Source: Aline Merladete | agrolink
