Swine fever will remain significant in 2020

Posted by Marina
The pig market intensified greatly with the emergence of the African Swine Fever (PSA), which plagued China, and made it import heavily from Brazil. This is what informed a report on expectations for Brazilian agribusiness, released and made by Rabobank.

“The African Swine Fever (PSA) is the main event that has directly impacted not only the meat sector in Brazil, but also worldwide. This year, Brazilian pork exports increased by 12% in volume and 25% in revenues (January to October) driven mainly by China, Hong Kong and Chile which together represent 60% of the total shipped in the partial of this year ”, indicates the text.

According to the institution's analysis, the disease is expected to continue spreading next year, maintaining this level of sales in 2020. “According to the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE), which is responsible for receiving notifications of occurrences from PSA, October 2019 report, 317 notifications were made and last November this number increased to 2,536, an increase of 800%, ”he adds.

“Regarding production costs, after a year of reductions in animal feed prices, mainly corn, preliminary estimates showed that Brazilian grain producers intend to slightly increase their production area during 2020, but lower productivity rates are expected. This could keep production levels at 2019. Thus, by 2020, animal nutrition costs should increase slightly from the average of 2019, a movement that started at the end of the third quarter of 2019 ”, he concludes.

Source: Agrolink