- Posted by Rafael Moro
Brazil's grain production is expected to reach 333.1 million tons over the next ten years. In relation to what the country produces in this season of 2020/2021, the increase in production until 2030/2031 should be 71 million tons, an increase of 27.1%, at a growth rate of 2.4% per year. Soybeans, second crop corn and cotton should continue to drive growth in grain production.
The numbers are from the study Projections of Agribusiness, Brazil 2020/21 to 2030/31, carried out by the Agricultural Policy Secretariat of the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Supply, by the Secretariat of Intelligence and Strategic Relations of the Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (SIRE/Embrapa ) and by the Department of Statistics of the University of Brasília (UnB).
The domestic market, exports and productivity gains should be the main growth factors in the next decade, according to the study. The advancement of innovations must continue to permeate activities in the field, as there is great attraction for new technologies.
The production of meat (beef, pork and poultry) between 2020/21 and 2030/31 is expected to increase by 6.6 million tons, which represents an increase of 24.1%. Chicken and pork are the ones that should show the greatest growth in the coming years: chicken meat (27.7%) and pork (25.8%). Beef production should grow 17% between the base year and the end of the projections. “These percentages may be at higher levels, given the increased demand for animal protein”, warns José Garcia, general coordinator of Policy Assessment and Information at the ministry and one of the researchers in the projections.
The planted area of grains should increase from the current 68.7 million hectares to 80.8 million hectares in 2030/31, an increase of 12.1 million hectares or 17.6% in relative terms. The planted area with all analyzed crops, in addition to grains, including sugar cane, coffee, cocoa and fruit, should increase from 80.8 million hectares in 2020/21 to 92.3 million in 2030/31.
This expansion is concentrated in soybeans, sugarcane, and corn hectares, which total 13.4 million additional hectares. Some crops, such as cassava, coffee, rice, oranges and beans, should lose area, but the reduction will be offset by productivity gains.
By: Gabriel Nascimento | Safras & Mercado
This text was automatically translated from Portuguese.